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Korean Financial Management Association

KFMA

한국재무관리학회

논문검색

제목
[1995]

비모수 주가예측 모형

작성자
최성섭, 박주헌
첨부파일1
조회수
128
내용
When we apply parametric models to the movement of stock prices, we don`t know whether they are really correct specifications. In the paper, any prior conditional mean structure is not assumed. By applying the nonparametric model, we see if it better performs (than the random walk model) in terms of out-of-sample prediction. An interesting finding is that the random walk model is still the best. There doesn`t seem to exist any form of nonlinearity (not to mention linearity) in stock prices that can be exploitable in terms of point prediction.

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